Price Risk Management and Hedging
Course Outline
Due to the highly volatile nature of the price of oil, international trading introduces the risk of large unexpected losses. Price risk management is designed to reduce the price risks associated with trading and introduce an element of certainty. This interactive three-day course is designed to guide delegates through the concept of hedging, allowing them to identify price risk and learn how to manage that risk through different financial instruments.
This program is designed for :
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Energy, Oil & gas, Commodity traders
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Energy Trading Firms
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Trading Managers
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Financial, Business & Commercial Analysts
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Portfolio & Planning Managers
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Oil & Gas Financial Consultants
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Oil & Gas Equity Analysts
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Oil & Gas Executives in Banking & Corporate Finance
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Risk Consultants, Risk Managers
- Credit Risk Analysts
Benefits:
ANALYSE the market performance oil and gas investments and their future outlook
LEARN to trade products in the oil and gas market successfully
DEVELOP a thorough understanding of the various trading techniques and methods
IDENTIFY market risk and learn to control them effffectively
APPLY practical strategies and technical analysis to mitigate risk factor in energy trading
LEVERAGE on energy derivatives to hedge prices and risk exposure
Course Outline
DAY 3
Physical pricing mechanisms
Supply and demand
Crude valuation
Fixed vs. floating vs. EFP
Understanding price exposure
Long / short
Marking to market
Pricing structures and correlations
- Brent
- WTI / ASCI
- Dubai
Volatility, normal distribution and standard deviation
Identification of risk
Basic principles
Objectives
Basis risk, credit risk, operational risk and volumetric risk
Measuring and analyzing risk
Value-at-Risk (VaR) concept
Long and short hedging
Contango and backwardation
Futures - the basics
Features of futures
Expiry cycle
Forward curves
Clearing
Exchange of Futures for Physical
DAY 4
Hedging with Futures
Basic concepts
- Definitions and terminology
- Profit and loss
- Exercise and delivery
Pricing
- Cost of carry
- Contango
- Backwardation
- Basis
The clearing house
- What is a clearing house?
- Central counter-party
- Margin
- Exercise and delivery
Exchange of futures for physical/swaps (EFP/EFS)
- Increases open interest
- Decrease in open interest
- No change in open interest
Trigger pricing and basis trading
- Objectives
- Trigger pricing process
- What is basis?
- Establishing basis differential
- Trading the basis
Hedging with Options
Basic conceptions
- Definition and termination
- Exercise and delivery
- Rights and obligations
Characteristics of options
- Risk and reward
- Profit and loss profiles
Principles of pricing
- Options premium
- Intrinsic value
- Time value
- Volatility
Basic trades
- Long call
- Short call
- Long put
- Short put
- Gearing
- Hedging
Options sensitivities - The Greeks
- Delta
- Gamma
- Rho
- Theta
- Vega
DAY 5
Hedging with Swaps
Basic structure
- Plain vanilla
- Who’s the buyer, who’s the seller
- Fixed for floating
- Cash flows
Different types of swaps
- Differential
- Participation
- Extendable
- Double up
- Swaption
- Prepaid
- Margin or crack
Pricing
- Forward curve
- Contango
- Backwardation
- Futures
OTC clearing
- Basic principles
- ICE
- NYMEX
- SGX
Managing a hedging programme
Establishing trading limits
Monitoring trading positions
Market to market - P&L
Portfolio management
VaR - Value at Risk
Summary and Conclusion
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